World Politics

Boris Johnson on course for election win with Welsh voters, poll suggests

The Conservative party can hope for significant gains in Wales if there is a general election in the near future, a poll has shown.

That support has grown since July’s poll which showed a narrow Tory lead by two points.

Poll Westminster 151019

If the swing affected all Welsh seats equally, the Conservatives could expect to win 17 constituencies in Wales.

They include Brecon & Radnorshire, which was lost to the Liberal Democrats in a by-election in August, as well as Newport West, where Labour held on earlier this year.

The Tories could also expect to win five seats in north-east Wales, including Clwyd South, where Boris Johnson was defeated when he stood there in 1997.

If we do get this General Election, Wales may be one of the areas where the Conservatives can look to make big gains… to win this majority in the Commons.

– PROF ROGER AWAN-SCULLY, CARDIFF UNIVERSITY

It appears Brexit is a big factor in how people will vote.

The poll found that 56% of Welsh voters consider it to be one of the most important election issues. 89% of people who say they will vote Conservative are in favour of leaving the European Union without a deal on 31 October.

56%-of Welsh voters considered Brexit to be the most important election issue
89%-of those who say they will vote Tory are in favour of a no-deal Brexit
  • YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,032 Welsh voters between 10 and 14 October.

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